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收评:连跌5天,跌幅超3%,大家情绪都崩溃了!下周,A股会迎来救赎吗
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-11-22 06:05

Market Overview - A-shares experienced significant declines, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 3834.89 points, down 2.45%, and the Shenzhen Component Index down 3.41% [1] - Over 5000 stocks in the market fell, indicating a widespread downturn, with many stocks seeing cumulative declines exceeding 10% over two weeks [5] Sector Performance - The lithium mining sector faced a "limit down" trend, with companies like Ganfeng Lithium and Shengxin Lithium Energy hitting their daily trading limits [2] - The storage chip sector saw sharp declines, with companies like Purun Co. and Shannon Chip Innovation dropping over 10% [3] - The photovoltaic equipment sector also adjusted collectively, with Jinchen Technology hitting its daily limit down [4] Risk Factors - Global risks, particularly the fluctuating expectations around the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions, have contributed to market volatility [6][7] - The Japanese bond market's increased volatility has raised global asset pricing risk premiums, affecting high-valuation assets, especially in AI and technology sectors [8][9] - The AI computing sector, a crowded investment area, is experiencing a shift as investors reassess risks, impacting related stocks in A-shares [11] Domestic Influences - Core technology sectors have seen significant declines over the past two weeks, with the large fund holdings index dropping approximately 3.24% last week and over 4% this week [12] - Semiconductor and chip-related indices have also experienced double-digit corrections, indicating that the recent downturn is a cumulative risk release rather than an isolated event [13] Market Dynamics - The market has shown a pattern of "slow rise and rapid decline," with main funds managing their positions strategically [18][19] - The AI computing sector has been central to the recent sell-off, being the most sensitive to valuation changes amid external pressures [20][21] Technical Analysis - The 20-week moving average is identified as a critical support level for the market, with expectations of further declines towards this level before potential stabilization [23][25] - The Shanghai Composite Index is currently near the 20-week line, which is projected to provide significant technical support [25] Investment Strategy - Investors are advised to avoid panic selling during downturns and to reassess their portfolio allocations, focusing on valuation and performance stability [34][36] - The current market environment is viewed as a phase of "stage adjustment" rather than a beginning of a medium-term downtrend, suggesting a potential for recovery after the risk release [28][42]