Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-11-22 08:07Core Points - The Supreme Court hearing on November 5, 2025, posed significant challenges to Trump's tariff policies, with conservative justices questioning the legality of his actions [1][3] - The outcome of the hearing could lead to substantial financial implications for the U.S., potentially resulting in a refund of $750 billion to $1 trillion in tariffs [4][6] - The tariffs have adversely affected U.S. businesses, with companies reporting significant financial losses due to increased costs [6][8] Group 1: Legal and Political Implications - Chief Justice Roberts emphasized that the power to levy taxes belongs to Congress, not the President, highlighting the constitutional principle regarding taxation [3] - Justices appointed by Trump, including Gorsuch and Barrett, raised critical questions about the extent of presidential power in declaring emergencies to impose tariffs [3] - The hearing has shifted market expectations regarding the likelihood of Trump's tariff policies being upheld, dropping from 40% to 27% [3] Group 2: Economic Impact on Businesses - Companies like Learning Resources and Terry Precision Cycling reported significant financial losses due to tariffs, with the latter expecting a loss of $1.2 million by 2026 [4][6] - The tariffs have led to increased costs for major corporations, including Nike, which warned of a potential $1.5 billion loss due to tariffs [6][8] - The Senate passed a resolution to terminate Trump's global tariff policy, signaling a shift towards anti-tariff sentiment [6] Group 3: Global Trade Dynamics - The tariffs have prompted retaliatory measures from other countries, including Canada and Mexico, which have imposed their own tariffs on U.S. goods [8] - The WTO expressed concerns about the potential for a trade war to have catastrophic effects on the global economy, reminiscent of the 1930s [8] - Companies are adjusting their strategies to mitigate the impact of tariffs, with some committing to increased investments in the U.S. to secure tariff exemptions [8]