终极审判在即，特朗普天价关税若遭否决，美国倒赔3万亿谁买单？

Group 1 - The U.S. is facing significant economic challenges due to the tariff policies initiated by the Trump administration, with a potential loss exceeding $3 trillion if the Supreme Court rules against these tariffs [1][12] - As of September this year, tariffs collected from the controversial legislation have reached $89 billion, and if deemed illegal, refunds to businesses could surpass $1 trillion, exacerbating the already strained U.S. fiscal situation [3][12] - The number of U.S. manufacturing companies that have closed this year has reached 230, a 34% increase year-over-year, particularly affecting industries reliant on Chinese components [5][12] Group 2 - The tariff policy has led to a vicious cycle where increased taxation results in greater losses, undermining the intended economic benefits [6][12] - The tariffs have triggered inflation and a decline in consumer spending, with estimates suggesting that American households could pay an additional $7,700 annually for imported goods, leading to reduced purchasing power for millions [8][12] - The U.S. has lost significant market share in China, with its proportion of total imports and exports dropping to 11.2%, the lowest since China joined the WTO, and in the soybean market, U.S. share has decreased from 30% to 20% [10][12] Group 3 - The semiconductor industry in the U.S. has suffered losses exceeding $1 billion annually, with market gaps being filled by Chinese and other foreign companies, indicating a potentially irreversible market loss [13] - The unilateral tariff strategy has backfired, resulting in a loss of market orders and technological advantages for the U.S., highlighting the shortsightedness of such policies [12][15] - China has established a more diversified trade network through deeper cooperation with ASEAN and EU partners, making it challenging for the U.S. to reclaim lost market shares [13][15]