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三花智控(002050):营收符合预期 控费、利息及减值冲回等推动利润率超预期

Core Insights - The company reported a Q3 2025 revenue of 7.767 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 12.77% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 9.6% [1][2] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for Q3 2025 was 1.132 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 43.81% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 6.1% [1][2] - The company maintains a strong global leadership position in refrigeration and automotive parts, benefiting from high win rates and valuation premiums due to upcoming production orders [1][4] Revenue Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 24.03 billion yuan, up 16.86% year-on-year [2] - The refrigeration business is expected to generate approximately 4.58 billion yuan in Q3, a year-on-year increase of 9.8%, while the automotive parts business is projected to reach around 3.2 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 17% [3][4] Profitability Analysis - The gross margin for Q3 was approximately 28.02%, a slight decrease of 0.15 percentage points year-on-year [4] - Profitability improvements were driven by effective control of operating expenses, increased interest income, and a reversal of credit impairments [4] Future Outlook - The company expects revenues for 2025 to reach approximately 32.18 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 15.13%, 17.71%, and 18.77% projected for 2026 and 2027 [5] - The net profit forecast for 2025 is approximately 4.208 billion yuan, with significant growth anticipated in subsequent years [5]