美联储态度摇摆，多头绝地反击，黄金冲高再跌！

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent fluctuations in gold and silver prices, highlighting the impact of geopolitical events and Federal Reserve communications on market movements [1][5]. Group 1: Market Analysis - Gold prices experienced significant volatility, with a notable rise during the U.S. trading session after a period of decline in the Asian market [1]. - The price of gold reached a high of approximately $4100 before retreating, closing the day with a doji candlestick pattern, indicating indecision in the market [1]. - The upcoming week is crucial as it marks the end of November, with potential implications for monthly closing prices [1]. Group 2: Influencing Factors - The rise in gold prices was primarily driven by two factors: the rejection of key parts of a peace agreement by Ukraine and the EU, and dovish comments from New York Fed President Williams, which increased the likelihood of a December interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve from below 30% to over 50% [1][5]. - The Federal Reserve's internal division on interest rate policy has created uncertainty, with some officials advocating for a pause in rate cuts while others support them [5]. Group 3: Technical Analysis - The overall trend for gold this week has been characterized by a high followed by a decline, with the weekly close forming a doji candlestick, suggesting a potential continuation of the downtrend [7]. - Key support levels are identified at $4040 and the trend support established at $3886, which has been tested multiple times [7][9]. - Resistance remains strong in the $4100-4100 range, and a breakthrough above this level could lead to further upward movement towards $4200 [9]. Group 4: Investment Strategy - For leveraged products, a flexible approach is recommended, avoiding a one-sided strategy of solely going long or short [9]. - For non-leveraged products like gold ETFs, the advice is to refrain from trading in the short term and to wait for clearer signals before entering positions [9].