反弹难掩颓势，比特币创Terra崩盘后最大月跌幅，“极度恐慌”暗示跌势未止？

Core Insights - The cryptocurrency market is experiencing a significant downturn, with Bitcoin recently rebounding to over $86,000 but still facing its worst month since the 2022 Terra collapse [1][3] - A major trigger for the recent decline was the flash crash on October 10, which led to the liquidation of $19 billion in cryptocurrency bets, causing Bitcoin to drop from its recent high of $126,251 [3] - Institutional investors are withdrawing substantial funds from Bitcoin-related ETFs, raising concerns about the sustainability of the "crypto treasury" model, which relies on companies holding cryptocurrencies [4][5] Group 1: Market Performance - Bitcoin has seen a 1.63% daily increase, while Ethereum rose by 1.11%, but these gains do not offset the overall decline this month [1] - Bitcoin's market capitalization has decreased by approximately $500 billion, marking a significant pressure test for the cryptocurrency market [1] Group 2: Flash Crash Impact - The October 10 flash crash revealed long-standing liquidity issues in the market, with $1.6 billion in leveraged bets being liquidated on exchanges [3] - Analysts suggest that the flash crash forced large participants to sell, impacting balance sheets more than initially anticipated [3] Group 3: Institutional Withdrawal - Investors have withdrawn billions from 12 Bitcoin-related ETFs this month, indicating a shift in institutional sentiment [4] - The current crisis is characterized by a lack of long-term holding mentality among institutional investors, who are actively rebalancing their portfolios [4] Group 4: Crypto Treasury Model Challenges - The "crypto treasury" model, where companies are valued based on their cryptocurrency holdings, is facing scrutiny as confidence wanes [5] - The sentiment in the market has plummeted, with the Fear and Greed Index scoring just 11, indicating extreme fear among investors [5] Group 5: Market Sentiment and Resilience - Despite the current downturn, the price drop of Bitcoin is less severe than the 75% decline seen during the 2021-2022 bear market, suggesting potential resilience [5] - Current market conditions are viewed as more robust due to improved macroeconomic factors and a reduction in bad actors within the industry [5]