特朗普心急如焚，关税战不但没打赢中，美国可能要倒赔2万亿

Core Viewpoint - The U.S. Supreme Court is reviewing the legality of Trump's tariff policy, which could have significant implications for the U.S. economy and government liabilities, potentially amounting to $2 trillion in damages [1][5][20]. Group 1: Legal Proceedings - The Supreme Court hearing on November 5 is a critical test of presidential authority regarding tariff imposition without congressional approval [3][19]. - The government's defense emphasizes the necessity of tariffs to address national security threats from international trade imbalances [3][19]. - Judges have raised concerns about the potential overreach of presidential power and whether Congress has exclusive authority over tariff imposition [4][20]. Group 2: Economic Impact - Trump's tariff policy, initiated in 2018, involved imposing a 25% tariff on $34 billion worth of Chinese goods, which later expanded to over $300 billion [8]. - The tariffs have led to increased production costs for U.S. companies, with manufacturing product prices rising by an average of 4.2% from 2019 to 2022 [11]. - The tariffs have contributed to inflation, with an estimated annual additional cost of $831 for the average American household [11]. Group 3: Domestic and International Reactions - Domestic backlash against the tariffs is growing, with 68% of surveyed manufacturers believing tariffs harm competitiveness, leading to delayed or canceled investment plans [17]. - Internationally, the tariffs have prompted retaliatory measures from allies, with the EU imposing sanctions on $28 billion worth of U.S. goods [15]. - The World Trade Organization has ruled against the U.S. tariffs, indicating violations of international trade rules [15]. Group 4: Future Implications - The Supreme Court's decision could restrict presidential power and require the U.S. government to refund approximately $80 billion in tariffs collected since 2018 [20]. - The potential for collective lawsuits from domestic and international entities could exacerbate the U.S. fiscal deficit, with estimates of damages reaching $2 trillion [20]. - The outcome of this legal battle will significantly influence future U.S. trade policy and the global economic order [20].