金晟富：11.23黄金持续震荡下周如何破局？周一开盘行情分析

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent fluctuations in gold prices, emphasizing the importance of economic data and Federal Reserve policies in determining future trends in the gold market [1][2][5]. Group 1: Gold Price Trends - As of the end of the week, spot gold closed at $4,064.90 per ounce, down $12.41 or 0.31% for the day and down $20.21 or 0.49% for the week [1]. - Gold prices are currently facing downward pressure, with a strong support level at $4,000 per ounce and initial resistance at $4,100 [1][2]. - The market is experiencing increased volatility, with gold prices showing a "roller coaster" pattern, briefly dipping below $4,000 before rebounding [3]. Group 2: Economic Indicators and Federal Reserve Policies - The market perceives a greater than 70% chance of a rate cut next month, but economists suggest a more uncertain outlook [2]. - Recent employment data indicates a trend of job cuts, with an average of 2,500 employees laid off weekly in the private sector [2]. - The Federal Reserve's October meeting minutes suggest a preference for maintaining current interest rates, with concerns that further cuts could risk inflation [2]. Group 3: Technical Analysis and Future Outlook - Technical analysis indicates that gold prices are in a phase of adjustment after reaching a historical high of $4,381, with a potential for further declines if key support levels are breached [3][5]. - The upcoming week is expected to see gold prices oscillating between $4,000 and $4,100, influenced by Federal Reserve signals and geopolitical tensions [5]. - Strategies for trading gold include short positions around $4,100 and long positions near $4,000, with specific stop-loss measures recommended [5].