环球圆桌对话：“亚洲版IMF”，旧事重提缘于现实需求

Core Viewpoint - The concept of establishing an "Asian Monetary Fund" (AMF) has resurfaced due to the changing global economic landscape and the increasing need for financial stability and cooperation among Asian countries [1][3][11]. Group 1: Historical Context - The idea of creating an AMF originated during the 1997 Asian financial crisis when Asian countries faced severe currency devaluations and sought a collective response to stabilize their economies [2][9]. - The initial proposal for an AMF was rejected due to U.S. intervention, which imposed stringent conditions through the IMF, exacerbating the financial turmoil in the region [2][10]. Group 2: Current Economic Landscape - Nearly 30 years later, the conditions for establishing an AMF have significantly improved, with Asian economies now being major global players in terms of economic size, trade volume, and population [3][4]. - The U.S. has adopted a protectionist stance, imposing high tariffs on Asian exports, which has increased the urgency for Asian countries to seek reliable financial support [3][11]. - The financial development in Asia has matured, with a solid industrial base and increased financial capacity, allowing for better management of funds and resources [3][4]. Group 3: Regional Cooperation and Mechanisms - The establishment of the AMF is seen as a pragmatic response to the lack of effective regional financial coordination mechanisms, which have historically left Asian countries vulnerable to external shocks [6][10]. - Existing frameworks like the "Chiang Mai Initiative" have laid the groundwork for regional financial cooperation, but further multilateralization is needed to enhance effectiveness [10][11]. - The successful implementation of trade agreements like RCEP has strengthened regional supply chains and economic autonomy, creating a conducive environment for the AMF [4][12]. Group 4: Future Prospects and Implications - The establishment of an AMF could significantly enhance regional economic stability and predictability, positively impacting global economic recovery [12]. - It would facilitate increased use of local currencies in trade, reducing reliance on the U.S. dollar and mitigating the effects of dollar hegemony [12]. - The AMF could amplify the economic "aggregation effect" within the region, improving the utilization of existing trade agreements and fostering a more resilient financial ecosystem [12].