Core Insights - Indian oil companies have announced a halt in purchasing Russian crude oil, indicating a trend of "de-Russification" in oil procurement. Similar moves are observed in China, which is also diversifying its sources of crude oil [2][4] - The freight rates for Very Large Crude Carriers (VLCCs) have surged significantly due to increased demand from India and China for oil from other producing countries, amidst tightening sanctions on Russia by the U.S. [2][4] - As of November 13, the World Scale (WS) index for freight rates reached approximately 132, with charter rates rising to $125,000 per day, doubling from around 65 in late August [2] Group 1: Market Dynamics - The freight rates for VLCCs exceeded $100,000 for the first time since April 2020, driven by U.S. sanctions against major Russian oil companies, Rosneft and Lukoil, aimed at undermining Russia's military funding amid stalled ceasefire negotiations with Ukraine [4] - The demand for VLCCs has intensified as India increases its oil purchases from other countries, leading to a tight supply situation in the regular market for large oil tankers [4][5] Group 2: Geopolitical Influences - The ongoing U.S.-China trade tensions are also impacting shipping costs, with the U.S. imposing port fees on Chinese vessels since mid-October, prompting China to retaliate with similar measures [6] - A recent agreement between U.S. and Chinese leaders to postpone the port fee measures for a year may lead to increased U.S. crude exports to China, which could positively affect the tanker market despite potential price corrections [6] - The sentiment in the shipping market remains strong, with limited new VLCC orders expected, further tightening supply and maintaining high freight rates [6]
俄油断供预期引发油轮运费飙升
3 6 Ke·2025-11-24 00:14