天风证券:A股近期调整为攻坚牛蓄力 后续关注交易热度回升

Core Insights - The recent adjustment in A-shares is seen as a consolidation phase for the upcoming bull market, with a focus on the recovery of trading activity [1] - The market has experienced a rotation since November, moving through different phases including mainline trends, large-cap value, and sentiment indices [1] - Historical patterns from late 2024 to early 2025 suggest that a decline in trading activity typically precedes a decrease in financing balance, indicating a potential consolidation period ahead [1] Trading Activity - Trading activity has decreased from a high of 12% in October to around 10% recently, indicating a cooling off period [1] - The financing balance is expected to decline following the drop in trading activity, aligning with previous market behaviors observed in earlier phases [1] Industry Allocation - The third phase of the "赛点2.0" (Saidian 2.0) is anticipated to be challenging, with expected fluctuations [1] - Emphasis is placed on the importance of the Hang Seng Internet sector in the current market environment [1]