Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-11-24 03:09Core Viewpoint - CICC maintains an "outperform" rating for Kingsoft Corporation (03888), but lowers the target price by 13% to HKD 39 due to uncertainties in the short-term growth of the gaming business [1] Group 1: Financial Adjustments - The group discount rate has been increased from 40% to 50% due to the widening valuation gap between the office business A/H as market capitalization rises [1] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio for the gaming business has been reduced from 10x to 8x, and the net profit margin for the gaming segment has been adjusted down from 20% to 15%, corresponding to a 44x P/E for 2026 [1] Group 2: Earnings Performance - Kingsoft's Q3 2025 earnings fell short of market expectations, primarily due to underperformance in the gaming sector, with revenue at CNY 2.419 billion, a year-on-year decline of 17%, and operating profit at CNY 277 million, down 75.8% year-on-year [1] - Based on a more cautious outlook for the gaming business, revenue forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have been reduced by 6.9% and 5.6%, respectively, to CNY 9.62 billion and CNY 10.91 billion [1] - Due to one-time gains related to Kingsoft Cloud's placement, the net profit forecast for 2025 has been increased by 27.1% to CNY 1.79 billion; however, the net profit forecast for 2026 has been decreased by 34.7% to CNY 1.12 billion due to revenue adjustments and increased investments related to AI strategy [1]