巴克莱：鲍威尔或将推动美联储下月降息

Core Viewpoint - Barclays Research indicates uncertainty surrounding the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision next month, but Chairman Powell is likely to advocate for a rate cut [1] Group 1: Federal Reserve Officials' Positions - Barclays believes that Governors Milan, Bowman, and Waller may support a rate cut, while regional Fed Presidents Musalem and Schmidt prefer to keep rates unchanged [1] - Governors Barr and Jefferson, along with Goolsbee and Collins, have shown unclear stances but lean towards maintaining the current rates [1] - Governors Cook and Williams are data-dependent but appear to favor a rate cut [1] Group 2: Voting Dynamics - Barclays notes that before considering Powell's position, there may be six voters inclined to keep rates unchanged and five leaning towards a rate cut [1] - The report emphasizes that Powell will ultimately dominate the decision-making process, as the threshold for publicly opposing his stance is quite high among the governors [1]