君諾金融：金价静待数据破局，本周经济指标会否改变降息预期？

Core Viewpoint - Gold prices experienced a brief rebound to $4,100 but ultimately settled around $4,050, influenced by a slight strengthening of the dollar and a mild increase in the metals sector [2] Group 1: Market Dynamics - The market is currently focused on the Federal Reserve's potential interest rate cuts, with a 60% probability of a 25 basis point cut next month indicated by futures markets [2] - Recent comments from New York Fed President Williams suggested signs of cooling in the labor market, which provided a temporary boost to gold prices [2] - Economic data releases, including retail sales, producer price index, and unemployment claims, are anticipated to provide clearer insights into the macroeconomic environment [2] Group 2: Gold Price Trends - Since reaching a historical high of $4,380 per ounce in late October, gold has entered a consolidation phase, maintaining an overall increase of approximately 55% year-to-date [2] - Ongoing trade uncertainties, geopolitical tensions, and concerns over fiscal conditions in certain countries continue to support safe-haven demand for gold [2] - In the short term, gold prices are expected to remain range-bound, driven by macroeconomic expectations as investors await new economic data [2]