【UNforex财经事件】政策不确定性上升 美元维持主导 黄金短线进入平衡区

Core Viewpoint - The market remains cautious as Federal Reserve officials emphasize maintaining current policies, providing support for the US dollar, while expectations for interest rate cuts have increased, temporarily boosting gold prices before a pullback [1][2][4] Group 1: Market Dynamics - The gold price initially rose to $4075 but quickly retreated to around $4045, indicating a lack of sustained buying momentum [1][2] - The US dollar maintains a strong position, supported by a generally hawkish tone from most officials, despite a slight slowdown in momentum due to dovish remarks from New York Fed President Williams [2][3] - Market participants are awaiting the upcoming US economic data, particularly the delayed September PPI and retail sales figures, which are expected to significantly influence market direction [2][4] Group 2: Economic Indicators - The market anticipates a PPI increase of 0.3% and retail sales growth of 0.4% for September, with stronger data potentially suppressing rate cut expectations and supporting the dollar [2][4] - The upcoming data is critical, as it could either reinforce or undermine the current market sentiment regarding interest rates and gold prices [3][4] Group 3: Gold Price Outlook - Short-term gold price action is characterized by a "high followed by resistance and subsequent consolidation," with key support levels at $4045 to $4020 [2] - If the economic data is weak, gold may test resistance levels above $4075 and $4100 [2]