Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-11-24 07:01Company Background - Xindong Company is a global game developer and publisher with extensive experience in research and development, publishing, and agency operations. The company's major games include "Let's Go, Muffin," "Xindong Town," "Iser," "Ragnarok M," and "Torchlight: Infinite." According to Sensor Tower, the company is expected to enter the global mobile game publisher revenue ranking TOP 100 by October 2025, ranking 22nd among Chinese mobile game publishers. The company also owns TapTap, the largest comprehensive game community platform in China, which provides a full-service experience for players and developers [1][2]. Self-Developed Game Performance - Since 2024, the company's self-developed games such as "Let's Go, Muffin," "Xindong Town," and "Iser" have shown impressive performance, reflecting the high success rate from refining quality games and precise product positioning. The international version of "Xindong Town" and new products like "Ragnarok RO: Guardians of Eternal Love 2" are expected to continue driving growth [2]. TapTap Platform Growth and Commercialization - TapTap exhibits a "user-game" dual-sided effect, with a zero-revenue-sharing policy and a considerable user base attracting many quality games to launch and promote on the platform. The ongoing opening of the iOS application ecosystem in China is expected to further expand TapTap's growth potential. The launch of the TapTap PC version will help broaden the user base and market for multi-platform games, including PC and independent games. The TapAND business has been successfully initiated and has vast market potential. In the first half of 2025, TapTap's revenue reached 1.01 billion, representing a year-on-year increase of 37.6%. The company forecasts TapTap's revenue growth of 35.5%, 25.0%, and 14.6% for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [3]. Profit Forecast, Valuation, and Rating - As revenue scales grow, the operating leverage effect is expected to be released, leading to a net profit growth rate for the company that exceeds revenue growth. The forecast for the company's net profit attributable to shareholders is 1.7 billion, 2.12 billion, and 2.55 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 111.2%, 24.3%, and 20.0%. The corresponding EPS is projected to be 3.44, 4.28, and 5.16 yuan. Based on industry valuation, a target price of 103.2 HKD is set for 2026, with an initial "buy" rating [4].