FII(SH:601138) Shang Hai Zheng Quan Bao·2025-11-24 07:39Core Viewpoint - Industrial Fulian's stock price has experienced a significant decline, reaching a low of 54.6 CNY per share, with a closing price of 55.94 CNY, down 7.80% on November 24, 2023, and a total market value of 1.1 trillion CNY [2][6]. Group 1: Stock Performance - The stock has seen a cumulative decline of over 15% in the last two trading days, marking a new low in nearly two months [2]. - The trading volume on November 24 reached 18.724 billion CNY [2]. Group 2: Market Rumors and Company Response - The unusual stock price fluctuation may be linked to rumors regarding a downward revision of AI server cabinet shipments and profits, with cabinet numbers adjusted to 80,000 and profit per cabinet declining due to competition from cloud service providers and Nvidia [6]. - Industrial Fulian has not officially responded to these rumors, but previously stated that there were no adjustments to orders or outlooks, and that project progress and delivery schedules remain normal [6][7]. Group 3: Financial Performance - In Q3, Industrial Fulian reported record-high revenue of 243.17 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 42.81%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 10.37 billion CNY, up 62.04% [7][8]. - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 603.93 billion CNY, a 38.4% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 22.49 billion CNY, up 48.52% [8]. Group 4: Industry Outlook - According to TrendForce, global capital expenditure by major cloud service providers is expected to grow by 65% in 2025, with a forecast of exceeding 600 billion USD in 2026, indicating strong long-term growth potential for AI infrastructure [9]. - Industrial Fulian anticipates that the overall shipment of AI servers will exceed previous expectations due to increased capital expenditure from cloud service providers [9]. - The company expects positive support for its gross margin in Q4 due to declining unit costs and improved yield rates, with significant growth in its switch business driven by AI demand [9].