A股异动！三大变数，突然来袭！

Core Viewpoint - The market is experiencing unexpected weakness, with significant declines in key assets such as Industrial Fulian and Ganfeng Lithium, despite a rebound in US stocks last week [1][4]. Group 1: Industrial Fulian - Industrial Fulian has seen substantial sell-offs, contributing over 7.63 points to the Shanghai Composite Index's decline, indicating it accounted for more than half of the index's drop [3]. - The sell-off is attributed to rumors regarding Nvidia's potential entry into the L10 system and a downward revision of Q4 performance, which some institutions believe are unfounded [3]. - Industrial Fulian maintains that its Q4 operations are on track, with expected cabinet deliveries increasing by over 30% quarter-on-quarter, and no profit target adjustments have been made [3]. Group 2: Ganfeng Lithium - Goldman Sachs downgraded Ganfeng Lithium's H-shares rating to "Sell," citing a 14% reduction in lithium price expectations for the second half of 2026 due to weak short-term market feedback and slowing inventory replenishment [2][4]. - Despite improvements in the lithium market fundamentals, a prolonged inventory cycle in energy storage systems may offset the expected supply-demand balance [4]. Group 3: Japanese Financial Market - Japanese government bond yields continue to rise, with the 10-year yield above 1.78% and the 40-year yield reaching 3.678%, indicating ongoing market volatility [4]. - Analysts suggest that potential intervention measures may not reverse the broad depreciation of the yen but could slow its decline [2][5]. Group 4: A-share Market Outlook - The A-share market is currently in a "three-phase overlap," characterized by a consolidation phase in the mid-bull market, a critical period for economic verification, and a performance policy vacuum, leading to a slowdown in upward momentum [6][7]. - The market is expected to stabilize as it approaches key support levels, with a potential bottoming opportunity if the A-share index reaches the half-year line [7].