币圈老吕：比特币此轮大跌后顶和底如何判断？以太破3000方赢反转

Core Viewpoint - The analysis indicates that both Bitcoin and Ethereum are experiencing limited downward movement, with specific price targets set for short positions, while also highlighting the importance of technical analysis in understanding market trends [1][5]. Group 1: Bitcoin Analysis - The recent price drop for Bitcoin started from $107,499 and reached a low of $80,602, indicating significant market fear and the need for confidence to drive a recovery [2]. - A strong resistance level for Bitcoin is identified at $88,214, derived from Fibonacci retracement analysis, with the last significant drop's starting point at $93,130 [2][5]. - The current market sentiment suggests that Bitcoin has limited room to fall further, with indicators showing potential for a rebound if it can establish a new low [5]. Group 2: Ethereum Analysis - Ethereum's price analysis shows a strong resistance level at $2,894, with a top at $3,063 and a bottom at $2,621, indicating a different volatility pattern compared to Bitcoin [4]. - The recent price action for Ethereum, which includes a rapid drop followed by a new high, adds complexity to short positions, creating a cautious environment for traders [4]. - The strategy for Ethereum remains focused on maintaining a short position unless the price can break and hold above $2,894 [5]. Group 3: Market Sentiment and Strategy - The overall market is expected to experience significant volatility, with both upward and downward movements anticipated, particularly for Bitcoin [6]. - The primary strategy remains to favor short positions while selectively engaging in long positions, emphasizing the importance of timely profit-taking [6]. - The analysis suggests that traders should focus on key price levels and avoid holding positions for extended periods without clear signals [6].