Core Insights - The company's Q3 2025 performance met expectations, with revenue of 55.08 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 24%, while non-IFRS net profit was 2.02 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 21% [1][2] Revenue Growth - Revenue growth was primarily driven by the participation of full-time riders in JD's delivery services and growth in the group's retail business [1] - Integrated supply chain business revenue significantly increased, with Q3 revenue from integrated supply chain clients rising 46% year-on-year to 30.1 billion yuan [1] - Revenue from JD Group increased by 66% year-on-year to 21.2 billion yuan, benefiting from incremental income from delivery services and retail business growth [1] - External integrated supply chain client revenue grew by 13% year-on-year to 8.9 billion yuan, with client numbers and revenue per client increasing by 13% and 1% respectively [1] Cost and Profitability - The company's profit margin was under short-term pressure due to increased upfront resource investments for delivery services, with employee compensation and benefits rising by 50% year-on-year to 21.8 billion yuan in Q3 [2] - Anticipated marginal improvement in profitability as business volume grows and seasonal capacity utilization increases [2] Strategic Acquisitions and Expansion - The company announced the acquisition of Dada's local on-demand delivery business for approximately 270 million USD, expected to enhance the existing product matrix and optimize last-mile delivery capabilities [2] - Rapid expansion of overseas warehouses since 2025, with collaboration with a new energy vehicle company to provide parts warehouse operations and integrated logistics services in the Middle East [2] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company maintains its profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026, with current stock price corresponding to 8.7x and 8.0x non-IFRS P/E ratios for 2025 and 2026 respectively [2] - The target price is set at 18.50 HKD, implying a 56.5% upside potential compared to the current stock price [2]
京东物流(02618.HK)：外卖配送带动收入高增 静待后续利润率改善