美联储官员释放鸽派信号，金ETF(159834)涨超1.6%，年内涨幅超51%

Core Viewpoint - Gold prices are supported by expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut in December, driven by dovish signals from Fed officials and increasing geopolitical uncertainties [1] Group 1: Market Performance - COMEX gold futures rose by 1%, reaching $4,136 per ounce [1] - Gold ETF (159834) increased by over 1.6%, with a year-to-date gain exceeding 51% [1] - The latest scale of Gold ETF is 1.265 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 785 million yuan since the beginning of the year, representing an increase of 163.5% [1] Group 2: Economic Indicators - The probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December is 82.9%, up from 69.4% the previous day, while the probability of maintaining the current rate is 17.1% [1] - Analysts from ANZ Bank noted that gold prices are supported by expectations of a Fed rate cut amid dovish comments from central bank officials [1] Group 3: Investment Trends - The demand for gold as a safe-haven asset is rising due to geopolitical uncertainties and trade negotiation developments [1] - Debon Securities indicated that the fundamental logic for rising gold prices remains unchanged, driven by global debt expansion, de-dollarization trends, ongoing central bank gold purchases, and a declining real interest rate cycle [1] - The gold ETF closely tracks the spot price of gold contracts on the Shanghai Gold Exchange, offering high transparency and liquidity, supporting T+0 intraday trading [1]