Group 1 - The probability of a Federal Reserve rate cut in December has risen to 81%, driven by recent comments from Waller and Daly, with only 16 days remaining until the Fed's final policy meeting of the year [1] - Upcoming economic data releases, including retail sales, employment indicators, and core PCE, will significantly influence market sentiment and policy direction. Weak data may strengthen rate cut expectations, while strong data could dampen these expectations, potentially putting pressure on gold prices [1] - Geopolitical tensions, particularly related to the Ukraine conflict and Middle East instability, continue to provide implicit support for gold as investors seek safe-haven assets [1] Group 2 - Analysts from FPG suggest that the ongoing debate within the Federal Reserve and instability in regions like Ukraine and the Middle East will keep the buying base for gold solid. This indicates that gold is likely to maintain a high trading range and may experience significant price movements as year-end approaches [2] - The gold market is at a critical decision-making juncture, with dovish sentiment within the Fed increasing and market expectations for a rate cut exceeding 80%. Gold prices are approaching a breakout point, with upcoming economic data and Fed communications expected to determine whether gold can move beyond its current trading range [3] - If the Fed initiates a rate cut as anticipated, gold prices could break above the current range and target the $4,150–$4,200 area. Conversely, if the Fed opts to maintain rates, market sentiment may shift to caution, leading gold prices to seek support in the $3,980–$4,000 range [3]
FPG财盛国际：两位美联储官员释放重要信号 金价飙升近70美元
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-11-25 02:55