申万宏源:维持大麦娱乐“买入”评级 IP收入超一倍增长 演出业务多元探索
Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-11-25 03:19

Core Viewpoint - The company maintains a "buy" rating for Damai Entertainment (01060) due to high growth in its IP business and steady expansion in its performance business, indicating strong long-term value in the live entertainment sector [1] Performance Summary - For FY26H1 (ending September 30, 2025), the company reported revenue of 4.05 billion, a year-on-year increase of 33%; net profit attributable to shareholders was 520 million, up 54% [2] - Adjusted EBITDA was 550 million, reflecting a 14% year-on-year growth after excluding a one-time financial asset impairment reversal of 160 million from FY25H1 [2] IP Business Performance - Revenue from IP derivative business doubled year-on-year, with ToB licensing business showing significant growth and ToC starting to ramp up. FY26H1 revenue reached 1.16 billion, a 105% increase, with segment performance (gross profit minus allocated sales expenses) at 230 million, up 44% [3] - Profit margin decline was influenced by a one-time impact from the closure of Jinli Naku, while core Alibaba Fish business revenue grew over 100% with profits nearly doubling [3] - ToB licensing includes high-quality IPs such as Sanrio family, Gigi Kawa, and Pokémon, with new additions from Universal Pictures. Alibaba Fish plans to increase team investment and expand downstream partnerships [3] - Retail brand operations have opened several domestic flagship stores, with future plans for more experiential formats like restaurants and small indoor amusement parks [3] Performance Business - Core domestic concert categories showed steady growth, with revenue of 1.34 billion in FY26H1, a 14.5% increase, and segment performance at 750 million, up 4.7% [3] - Profit margin decline may be due to early internationalization efforts and lower margins in performance content investment [3] - Ticketing for core concert categories faced supply constraints, but overall GMV on the Damai platform remained stable, with a 17% increase in ticket buyers year-on-year. The company provided one-stop solutions for over 2,500 performances, a 19% increase [3] - Revenue from live entertainment content grew by 50%, with participation in major concerts and events, extending upstream in the industry [3] - The company is also expanding internationally, with increasing performances by overseas artists in China and growing demand from domestic audiences for cross-border events, starting with Southeast Asia and Japan/Korea [3] Film and Television Content Business - The film segment reported revenue of 1.06 billion in FY26H1, with segment performance at 95 million. The company is adjusting its film investment strategy to focus on lower-risk, high-quality content, with the summer release "Chasing the Wind" exceeding return expectations [4] - The series production segment generated revenue of 480 million, with profits of 40 million [4] Management Efficiency - Management efficiency has improved, with a notable reduction in investment risks from the previous year. The management expense ratio decreased to 16.5% in FY26H1, down 3.1 percentage points year-on-year [5]