12月降息概率又转飙升、金价反弹走强多头动力加大

Core Viewpoint - International gold prices experienced a strong rebound, returning above the 30-day and 5-10 day short-term moving averages, indicating an increased bullish outlook for the market [1][3] Price Movement - Gold opened at $4067.47 per ounce, dipped to a daily low of $4040.02, and then rebounded to a daily high of $4139.71, closing at $4134.55, with a daily fluctuation of $99.69 and a gain of $67.08, or 1.65% [3] Influencing Factors - The market was initially affected by a weakening adjustment pattern, but buying support from the middle band helped halt the decline and initiate a rebound [3] - The probability of a Federal Reserve rate cut in December surged from 40% to 81%, influenced by dovish comments from Fed officials Waller and Daly [3] - Renewed geopolitical tensions in the Russia-Ukraine conflict, including air raid alerts in Kyiv and changes to peace plans, provided additional safe-haven premiums for gold [3]