长江策略:恐慌情绪已现,或迎布局时点
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-11-25 05:39

Group 1 - The Hong Kong stock market experienced significant pullbacks last week, with the Hang Seng Technology Index declining by 5.1% and the Hang Seng Index by 7.2% [1][2] - The market's downturn was attributed to mixed signals from the U.S. labor market, where job growth exceeded expectations but the unemployment rate reached a four-year high, creating uncertainty around the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions [2][3] - The overall sentiment in the market is cautious, particularly in the technology sector, which has been under pressure, as indicated by the low fear and greed indices for both the Hang Seng Technology Index and the Hang Seng Index [2][4] Group 2 - Looking ahead, the macroeconomic environment suggests a potential for a "slow bull" market as the Federal Reserve is expected to enter a rate-cutting phase, leading to increased global liquidity [3][4] - Investment strategies should focus on sectors benefiting from technological advancements, such as AI and robotics, which are currently at a critical commercialization phase [4] - The report highlights the importance of resource scarcity and the transition to energy transformation, suggesting that sectors like metals may experience valuation premiums due to structural supply-demand mismatches [4][5]