Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-11-25 06:19Core Viewpoints - The company's main business has reached a bottom, and the investment business is expected to yield returns, with the current stock price having a high margin of safety [1] - The company emphasizes shareholder returns, having announced a HKD 600 million shareholder return plan, with a current dividend yield (TTM) close to 9%, making it attractive [1] Group 1: Game Business - The core IP "Magic Domain" has shown stable improvement in revenue, and the company expects this trend to continue into 2026 [2][3] - A new version of "Magic Domain" has completed development and is awaiting approval for launch, which is anticipated to bring additional revenue [3] - Overall, the company expects good profit growth in its game business by 2026, driven by cost reduction and efficiency measures [3] Group 2: Mynd.AI Business - The company is focusing on reducing losses in the Mynd.AI business, with a good growth rate in SaaS business expected [4] - The integration of AI voice assistant technology aims to enhance classroom interaction, promoting automation in teaching [4] - The company anticipates achieving EBITDA breakeven in Q4 2025 and profitability in 2026 for the Mynd.AI business [4] Group 3: Investment Business - The company has strategically invested in Hangzhou ShuaiKu Network, becoming its largest shareholder with a 46% stake, which has shown strong revenue growth [5] - A strategic investment of USD 20 million in Rokid has been made, with significant sales growth reported in the AR glasses segment [5] - The company has entered into an exclusive partnership with Zhongke Wenge to promote AI services outside mainland China, enhancing its international presence [6] Group 4: Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company has revised its EPS forecasts for 2025-2027 to HKD 0.78, 1.45, and 1.77 respectively, reflecting the stabilization of the game business and growth in the investment sector [7] - The estimated net profit for the game and application service business in 2026 is projected to be HKD 870 million, with a valuation of HKD 8 billion based on an 8x PE ratio [7][8] - The Mynd.AI business is expected to generate revenue of HKD 1.95 billion in 2026, with a valuation of HKD 1.08 billion based on a 0.7x PS ratio [8]