Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-11-25 08:57Core Insights - UBS reports that the office market in mainland China faces challenges due to ample supply, while there are clear signals indicating a recovery in the Hong Kong office market [1] - UBS believes that the Grade A office market in Central Hong Kong is nearing its bottom as supply is expected to decrease between 2026 and 2027, which will benefit stocks with Grade A office business in Hong Kong [1] Summary by Category Hong Kong Office Market - The recovery of the Hong Kong office market is expected to continue benefiting companies such as Swire Properties (01972), Swire Pacific Ltd A (00019), Land Lease, Hysan Development (00014), and Henderson Land Development (00012) [1] - UBS indicates that the Grade A office market in Central Hong Kong is approaching a bottom due to a decrease in supply expected in the coming years [1] Shanghai Office Market - According to CBRE data, Shanghai office rents decreased by 0.8% quarter-on-quarter in Q3 [1] - The supply of office space in Shanghai increased by 116,000 square meters due to the completion of two new buildings, while net absorption rose by 6.7% to 100,000 square meters [1] - UBS anticipates that 820,000 square meters of new supply will enter the Shanghai market in the next six months, and due to ample supply in the next two years, office rents in Shanghai are expected to continue declining next year [1]