DLS MARKETS:美联储降息预期重燃 风险资产反弹,涨势能否延续?
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-11-25 09:53

Group 1 - The U.S. stock indices performed well, with the S&P 500 rising by 1.6% and the Nasdaq 100 increasing by 2.6%, driven by a strong tech sector and growing expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut in December [1][3] - The market has reassessed the probability of a Federal Reserve rate cut next month to 70%, significantly up from a recent 30% expectation, following dovish comments from Federal Reserve officials [3] - The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield fell below 4.00%, indicating a decline in bond yields across the curve, while gold and oil prices rose by 1.7% and 1.6% respectively against the dollar [3] Group 2 - Upcoming U.S. economic data includes the Producer Price Index (PPI) and retail sales figures for September, with expectations for a core PPI increase of 0.3% month-over-month and 2.7% year-over-year [4][5] - Retail sales are anticipated to slow, with a month-over-month growth forecast of 0.4%, down from 0.6%, and a decrease in auto sales-excluded retail growth from 0.7% to 0.3% [6][7]