欧盟委员会对欧盟和欧元区2025年经济预测更为乐观

Group 1 - The European Commission has raised the EU's GDP growth forecast for 2025 from 1.1% to 1.4% and lowered the 2026 forecast from 1.5% to 1.4% [1] - The Eurozone's GDP growth forecast for 2025 has been increased from 0.9% to 1.3%, while the 2026 forecast has been reduced from 1.4% to 1.2% [1] - The EU's GDP is expected to grow by 1.4% this year, maintaining the same growth rate in 2026, and increasing to 1.5% in 2027 [1] Group 2 - The increase in the 2025 economic growth forecast is attributed to a rise in exports before anticipated tariff increases and sustained growth in the third quarter, indicating resilience in the European economy [2] - Economic growth in the EU and Eurozone is primarily driven by private consumption and investment [2] - Inflation in the Eurozone is projected to stabilize, with a forecast of 2.1% in 2025, decreasing to 1.9% in 2026 and hovering around 2.0% in 2027, mainly due to a decline in the price increases of services and food [2] Group 3 - The EU's public deficit is expected to rise from 3.1% of GDP in 2024 to 3.4% in 2027, partly due to an increase in defense spending from 1.5% to 2% of GDP during the same period [2] - Public debt in the EU is projected to increase from 84.5% of GDP in 2024 to 85% by 2027 [2] - The European Commission has called on member states to implement reforms outlined in the EU's economic competitiveness enhancement guidelines, particularly in simplifying legislation and improving the internal market, while also taking measures to stimulate economic growth [2]