特朗普强攻美联储独立性，历史轮回预警，美国经济恐陷滞胀

Core Viewpoint - The ongoing power struggle between President Trump and Federal Reserve Chairman Powell is significantly impacting the U.S. economy and the financial well-being of ordinary citizens [1]. Group 1: Federal Reserve's Role - The Federal Reserve is viewed as a cornerstone of the U.S. economy, with its primary tasks being to stabilize prices and promote employment [2]. - The Fed operates independently and has the authority to raise interest rates during economic overheating or lower them to stimulate recovery during downturns [2]. Group 2: Trump's Strategies - Trump employs three main strategies to pressure the Federal Reserve into lowering interest rates: 1. A media campaign attacking Powell's credibility, labeling him as lacking courage and obstructing economic growth [3]. 2. Attempting to remove dissenting members from the Fed, specifically targeting Governor Lisa Cook, which is unprecedented in the Fed's history [3][4]. 3. Appointing loyalists, such as Chief Economic Advisor Stephen Moore, to key positions within the Fed to gain control over monetary policy [5]. Group 3: Historical Context - Trump's tactics mirror those of former President Nixon, who pressured the Fed to maintain low interest rates, leading to rampant inflation and necessitating drastic measures by future Fed Chairman Paul Volcker [4][5]. Group 4: Potential Economic Outcomes - Two potential future scenarios have been outlined: 1. A gradual decline in economic vitality as the Fed, under pressure, becomes hesitant to combat inflation, leading to a slow rise in prices to around 3% [7]. 2. A complete takeover of the Fed by the White House, resulting in short-term economic euphoria but potentially leading to a severe economic downturn [9]. Group 5: Implications for Ordinary Citizens - The independence of the Federal Reserve is crucial for protecting the purchasing power of ordinary citizens, ensuring that their savings do not diminish due to political pressures [11]. - The ongoing conflict poses risks to the U.S. economy's future, with potential consequences including high inflation rates and increased mortgage rates, which could lead to a state of "stagflation" [12].