国际货币基金组织将斯洛文尼亚2025年GDP增长预期下调至0.8%

Core Viewpoint - The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has revised Slovenia's GDP growth forecasts for 2025 and 2026, indicating a slower economic recovery than previously expected [1] Economic Growth Forecast - Slovenia's GDP is projected to grow by 0.8% in 2025, a decrease of 0.3 percentage points from the October forecast [1] - The growth forecast for 2026 has been lowered by 0.1 percentage points to 2.2%, with a further increase to 2.3% expected in 2027 [1] - The economy experienced a contraction in Q1 of this year but rebounded in Q2 and Q3, with an overall growth rate of 0.8% anticipated for the year [1] Inflation and Long-term Projections - If food and energy price increases slow down, inflation is expected to stabilize around 2% by 2030 [1] - Mid-term GDP growth is expected to stabilize at approximately 2.1% [1] Structural Challenges - The IMF highlights ongoing structural reform challenges, including the need for improved efficiency in the public sector and tax system [1] - Slovenia needs to find additional funding sources for pension and long-term care systems [1] - Key challenges include labor shortages, administrative barriers, enhancing the innovation environment, and providing incentives for promising businesses, necessitating increased investment to boost productivity [1]