谈不拢了！稀土坚决不给美国军工，中国必须保持军事领先

Group 1 - The U.S. government announced a 34% reciprocal tariff on goods from major trading partners, including China, affecting shipping, logistics, and shipbuilding, which violates WTO rules and disrupts the U.S.-China maritime agreement [1] - This policy has led to a more than 30% increase in bilateral trade costs, reflecting a typical unilateralism aimed at reshaping global supply chains and promoting manufacturing return to the U.S. [1] - China responded swiftly by imposing equivalent tariffs on U.S. imports and implementing export controls on seven categories of rare earth elements, emphasizing national security and international non-proliferation responsibilities [4] Group 2 - The U.S. and China engaged in high-level economic talks in Geneva, agreeing to gradually reduce tariffs within 90 days and temporarily suspend some non-tariff countermeasures, showcasing a willingness to dialogue [6] - However, the U.S. quickly violated the agreement by suspending the supply of LEAP-1C engines needed for China's C919 aircraft, tightening restrictions on chip and design software exports, which impacts China's aviation supply chain [6][8] - The ongoing trade tensions have led to an 8.1% year-on-year decline in bilateral trade, while China's export structure has improved, with high-tech products now accounting for 35% of exports [10] Group 3 - Rare earth elements are crucial for high-tech industries, with China controlling 60% of global extraction and 90% of refining, particularly dominating the heavy rare earth sector at 99% [12] - U.S. automakers have already reduced production by 20% due to supply disruptions, with General Motors and Ford warning of potential factory relocations to China if the situation does not improve [12] - China's export control measures are efficient, with a tiered approval system for exports, ensuring that any product containing over 0.1% Chinese rare earths requires a license, particularly for military applications [15] Group 4 - The U.S. military faces significant challenges, with the F-35 fighter jet requiring 920 pounds of rare earths, and Virginia-class submarines needing over 9,000 pounds, leading to increased production costs and delays [17] - The Pentagon's reserves are only sufficient for 18 months, and development of the F-47 sixth-generation fighter has been paused due to supply issues [17] - In contrast, China's military prioritizes domestic supply, achieving an 85% recovery rate of rare earths at one-third of the cost compared to the U.S., highlighting the asymmetrical nature of the ongoing competition [17]