俄乌大消息！和平协议，乌克兰原则同意！关键数据出炉，美联储降息陷迷雾

Market Performance - US stock markets experienced a collective rise, with the Dow Jones up 1.43%, S&P 500 up 0.91%, and Nasdaq up 0.67% as of the close on the 25th [1] - European stock indices also saw gains, with the FTSE 100 up 0.78%, CAC 40 up 0.83%, and DAX up 0.97% on the same day [1] Oil Prices - International oil prices faced a decline, with light crude oil futures for January delivery at $57.95 per barrel, down 1.51%, and Brent crude at $62.48 per barrel, down 1.4% [1] Geopolitical Developments - US President Trump stated that a peace agreement between Ukraine and Russia is "very close," although European leaders expressed skepticism [2] - Trump has directed US officials to engage with both Russia and Ukraine to advance the peace talks [2][3] - Ukraine has tentatively agreed to a revised peace plan, reducing the original 28-point proposal to a 19-point version, which still requires further discussion [3] Russian Response - Russia has not received the updated 19-point plan and expressed confusion over the various versions of the peace proposal circulating [4] - Russian officials criticized the European version of the peace plan as unconstructive and not aligned with Russian interests [4] Security Guarantees for Ukraine - French President Macron announced the formation of a working group with the UK to coordinate security guarantees for Ukraine post-conflict, with US involvement [6][7] - Macron emphasized the need for a strong Ukrainian military to deter Russia and proposed using frozen Russian assets to support Ukraine financially [8] Federal Reserve Developments - US Treasury Secretary indicated that President Trump is likely to nominate a new Federal Reserve Chair by the end of the year, with a shortlist of candidates already narrowed down [9][10] - Current market predictions suggest a high probability of a Federal Reserve rate cut in December, influenced by recent inflation data [12][16] Precious Metals Market - The precious metals market is experiencing upward pressure due to expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut, although uncertainty remains regarding future price movements [16][18] - Analysts suggest that while short-term volatility exists, long-term support for precious metals is anticipated due to ongoing central bank gold purchases and global monetary trends [18]