Group 1 - Market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut in December have increased, leading to a rebound in gold prices [1][3] - Short-term technical indicators suggest a demand for a rebound in gold, with support levels at $4100 and $4070, and resistance at $4150 and potential breakout at $4200 [1] - Recent fluctuations in gold prices show a peak at $4159 before retreating, indicating short-term pressure despite the demand for a rebound [3] Group 2 - The probability of a December rate cut by the Federal Reserve has risen from less than 40% to 70% in one day, and further to 81% this week, following the end of the government shutdown and the release of key economic data [3] - The rebound in gold prices is supported by the decline of the US dollar, which has recently reached a six-month high due to cautious statements from Federal Reserve officials regarding rate cuts [3] - The recent strong performance of US tech stocks has diminished the attractiveness of gold, leading to limited rebound potential for gold prices [3]
降息预期再次升温，黄金价格温和反弹
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-11-26 04:02