华泰证券:资金压力有望改善
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-11-26 04:21

Group 1 - The overall market experienced a pullback last week, but there are signs that funding pressure may ease marginally moving forward [2][4] - On the demand side, the trend of private equity registration and public fund issuance continues to recover, with private equity fund registrations rising to 337, exceeding 300 for two consecutive weeks [3][50] - On the supply side, the peak of A-share unlock market value has passed, and the net reduction in industrial capital has decreased, indicating a marginal easing of funding supply pressure [2][68] Group 2 - The liquidity pressure in the domestic market has slightly eased, with the A-share unlock market value dropping to less than 20 billion, down from nearly 100 billion last week [2][72] - The net reduction in industrial capital has decreased from nearly 15 billion to 7.4 billion, although there remains high reduction pressure in the telecommunications, electronics, and power equipment sectors [2][68] Group 3 - The trend of private equity and public fund issuance continues, with private equity fund registrations at 337 and public fund issuance rising to 22.1 billion [3][25] - The number of weekly reports for stock-type funds remains around 20, with technology fund reports increasing from 5 to 14, marking a new high since October [3][50] Group 4 - Trading sentiment among various funds has shown signs of adjustment, with retail funds experiencing a net outflow of 27.4 billion, while inflows were seen in sectors like computers and power equipment [6][9] - Leverage funds also saw a net outflow of 29.5 billion, with trading activity at a low of 10.01% [17][61] Group 5 - The allocation direction of various funds has diverged, with retail funds showing a net outflow in machinery, basic chemicals, and public utilities, while inflows were noted in sectors like computers and power equipment [6][9] - The average guarantee ratio in the margin trading market has dropped to 265%, indicating a potential decrease in leverage [21][22] Group 6 - The net inflow of ETFs reached 43.6 billion, with significant inflows in technology and pharmaceutical sectors [36][43] - The average daily trading volume of northbound funds has decreased to 209.5 billion, with a net outflow of 5.1 billion in actively managed foreign capital [61][62]