五人名单、一个意外，究竟谁会得到特朗普青睐“登顶”美联储？

Core Viewpoint - The competition for the next Federal Reserve Chair has intensified, with five strong candidates identified, including close associates of Trump and a prominent critic of the Fed [1][2]. Candidate Analysis - Kevin Hassett: As the Director of the National Economic Council, he has a close relationship with Trump and emphasizes the importance of Fed independence and sound monetary policy. He criticizes the Fed for misjudging inflation during the pandemic and supports a significant rate cut in December [2][3]. - Chris Waller: Currently a Fed board member, he has called for rate cuts and is concerned about a weak job market. He believes inflation is nearing the Fed's 2% target when excluding tariff impacts [4][5]. - Michelle Bowman: Another current Fed member, she is worried about the job market's fragility and supports rate cuts. She has proposed regulatory changes to focus on significant financial risks [5][6]. - Kevin Warsh: A former Fed governor, he has been critical of the Fed's recent decisions and believes it should abandon its inflation predictions. He argues that inflation is driven by excessive government spending [7][8][9]. - Rick Rieder: As BlackRock's fixed income chief, he manages $2.4 trillion in assets and supports a rate cut in December, citing concerns about the labor market [10]. Potential Candidates - Steven Mnuchin: Although he has expressed disinterest in the Fed Chair position, he remains a top candidate due to his close ties with Trump [11]. - Trump's Preference: The president is likely to choose a candidate who aligns with his low-rate philosophy, which could lead to a more dovish Fed [11][12].