Can SMR Stock Beat the Market?

Core Insights - NuScale Power has experienced a significant decline in stock performance, transitioning from outperforming the market to underperforming, particularly against the S&P 500 over one-year and three-year periods [3][8] - Despite the recent downturn, there remains potential for a price breakout due to increasing demand for clean energy and the company's asset-light business model [8] - The stock price has dropped over two-thirds since mid-October, influenced by reduced enthusiasm for AI data centers, disappointing quarterly earnings, and large shareholder Fluor's plans to sell its stake [9][10] Performance Comparison - Over the past year, NuScale shares have decreased by 32.8%, while the S&P 500 has increased by 11%, resulting in a difference of -43.8% [6] - Over the past three years, NuScale's return is 69%, compared to the S&P 500's 85.61%, leading to a difference of -16.6% [6] - Since the SPAC merger in May 2022, NuScale has seen an 87% return, slightly outperforming the S&P 500's 80% return by 7% [6] Market Sentiment - The initial enthusiasm for NuScale's potential in the small modular nuclear reactor market has waned, contributing to the stock's decline [7] - The company's involvement in a deal with the Tennessee Valley is not expected to generate significant revenue in the near term, further dampening investor sentiment [9] - The recent quarterly earnings release was poorly received, exacerbating the stock's downward trajectory [10]