NuScale Power's ENTRA1 Deal Deepens: Can it Deliver 6GW by 2030?

Core Insights - NuScale Power is collaborating with ENTRA1 to develop up to 6 gigawatts (GW) of small modular reactor capacity for the Tennessee Valley Authority (TVA), marking the largest small modular reactor initiative in the U.S. to date, with the first plant expected to generate power by 2030 [1][10] Group 1: Project Development - The term sheet between ENTRA1 and TVA indicates progress, with ENTRA1 working on final agreements [2] - NuScale Power made a milestone payment of $128.5 million in Q3 2025 to facilitate early development tasks [2][10] - The company ended Q3 with $753.8 million in cash after raising $475.2 million through an equity program, providing financial flexibility for upcoming milestone payments [3] Group 2: Risks and Challenges - The primary risk for NuScale Power is timing, as TVA is still evaluating nuclear options and the agreement is not yet a firm order [4] - ENTRA1 must finalize its Power Purchase Agreement before construction can commence, which adds uncertainty to the timeline [4] Group 3: Competitive Landscape - NuScale Power faces significant competition in the nuclear energy sector from companies like BWX Technologies and GE Vernova [5] - GE Vernova and Samsung C&T have partnered to expedite the rollout of GE Vernova's BWRX-300 SMR outside North America [6] - BWX Technologies has signed agreements with Rolls-Royce SMR to design and supply key components for advanced reactors, enhancing its position in the SMR supply chain [7] Group 4: Financial Performance and Valuation - NuScale Power's shares have increased by 4.5% year-to-date, while the Zacks Computer and Technology Sector has grown by 25% [8] - The company trades at a forward price-to-sales ratio of 60.54X, significantly higher than the industry average of 25.29X [11] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 indicates a projected loss of $1.64 per share, widening from a previous estimate of a loss of 50 cents [14]