中国制造改写全球规则！霸榜15年的它，到底有多硬核？

Core Insights - Chinese manufacturing has maintained its dominance globally for 15 consecutive years, significantly contributing to the national economy and reshaping global trade rules [1][4]. Economic Performance - In the first three quarters, China's GDP reached 101.5036 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 5.2%, and a 6.2% increase in industrial value added for large-scale enterprises, showcasing the robust strength of Chinese manufacturing [4]. - The manufacturing sector covers over 50% of global market share in various categories, including steel, home appliances, and new energy vehicles, indicating a comprehensive industrial base [4]. Unique Industrial Ecosystem - China is the only country with all industrial categories recognized by the United Nations, creating a unique industrial ecosystem. In 2024, only 26.6% of the manufacturing output valued at 94 trillion yuan is expected to be for export, highlighting the strength of domestic demand [6]. - The closed-loop capability of responding to demand, iterating technology, and implementing production is a key competitive advantage for Chinese manufacturing, allowing it to maintain its leading position [6]. Trade Dynamics - By August 2025, China's goods trade surplus is projected to reach $785.34 billion, with an annual estimate exceeding $1.2 trillion, driven by the inability of many countries to meet the market demand in terms of cost-effectiveness and technological content [7]. - Emerging manufacturing countries like India and Vietnam show significant trade deficits with China, indicating their reliance on Chinese intermediate goods for assembly, which underscores China's central role in global supply chains [9]. Financial Restructuring - The financial landscape is undergoing changes, with the CIPS system processing 175 trillion yuan in 2024 and reducing overlap with SWIFT to 30% by 2025, indicating the establishment of an independent RMB payment system [12]. - The rigid demand for Chinese goods globally is facilitating the natural progression towards RMB settlements [14]. Challenges and Opportunities - The domestic market is experiencing shifts, with top 100 real estate companies' sales in the first half of 2025 only reaching 26% of the same period in 2021, and the white liquor industry facing oversupply [16]. - Despite challenges, the manufacturing sector's ability to quickly respond to market changes and the willingness to expand production even at short-term losses are driving rapid technological advancements [16]. - The continuous negative PPI for 35 months reflects a process of industrial reshuffling, concentrating resources on high-quality enterprises, while the focus on balancing supply chain improvements, domestic demand expansion, and stable exports remains crucial [18]. Future Outlook - The surplus from foreign trade is gradually being transformed into innovation momentum, with increasing collaboration from various countries, indicating that the journey of Chinese manufacturing is not just about industrial upgrades but also about restructuring the global economic landscape [20]. - Future strategies will focus on not only achieving the largest scale but also on technological innovation, green transformation, and ecological collaboration, which will redefine the new rules of global manufacturing [22].