TransDigm Group Stock: Is Wall Street Bullish or Bearish?

Core Insights - TransDigm Group Incorporated (TDG) is a Cleveland-based company specializing in the design, production, and supply of aerospace components, with a market capitalization of $75.2 billion [1] Performance Overview - Over the past 52 weeks, TDG shares have gained 6%, underperforming the S&P 500 Index, which increased by 11% [2] - Year-to-date, TDG's stock is up 5.4%, while the S&P 500 has returned 14% [2] - Compared to the SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF (XAR), which surged 29.6% over the past 52 weeks and 34.9% year-to-date, TDG's underperformance is more pronounced [3] Earnings Report - On November 12, TDG's shares rose by 1.1% following a stronger-than-expected Q4 earnings release [4] - The company's net sales for the quarter increased by 11.5% year-over-year to $2.4 billion, exceeding consensus estimates by 1.2% [4] - Adjusted EPS for the quarter was $10.82, reflecting a 10.1% improvement from the previous year and surpassing analyst expectations by 5.6% [4] Future Earnings Expectations - For fiscal 2026, analysts project TDG's EPS to grow marginally to $35.90 year-over-year [5] - The company's earnings surprise history is mixed, with three out of the last four quarters exceeding consensus estimates [5] Analyst Ratings - Among 23 analysts covering TDG, the consensus rating is a "Moderate Buy," consisting of 17 "Strong Buy," five "Hold," and one "Strong Sell" ratings [5] - The overall rating has shifted from "Strong Buy" to "Moderate Buy" in the past month [6] - BNP Paribas Exane initiated coverage with an "Outperform" rating and a price target of $1,775, indicating a potential upside of 32.9% [6] Price Targets - The mean price target for TDG is $1,579.70, representing an 18.3% premium from current levels [7] - The highest price target of $1,798 suggests a potential upside of 34.6% from current levels [7]