Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-11-27 02:09Core Viewpoint - The company maintains an "outperform" rating for NIO-SW (09866) with target prices of HKD 62 and USD 8, indicating potential upside of 32% and 46% for the Hong Kong and US stocks respectively, based on a projected 1.0x P/S for 2026 [1] Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company delivered 87,071 vehicles, achieving revenue of CNY 21.79 billion, which aligns with market expectations [2] - The overall gross margin increased by 3.9 percentage points to 13.9%, while the automotive gross margin rose by 4.4 percentage points to 14.7%, marking the best quarterly performance since Q1 2023, driven by cost reduction and an increase in the L90 model's share [2] - R&D and selling, general, and administrative (SG&A) expenses were CNY 2.39 billion and CNY 4.19 billion respectively, with R&D expenses decreasing by approximately CNY 600 million quarter-on-quarter, while SG&A expenses increased due to new model cycles [2] Product Cycle and Sales Outlook - The company projects Q4 deliveries between 120,000 and 125,000 units, maintaining a high sales level [3] - The existing 5566 model is expected to support sales recovery through adjustments in standard battery capacity [3] - The company plans to launch three new SUV models (ES9, ES7, L80) in Q2-Q3 of 2026, aiming to strengthen its position in the pure electric vehicle market [3] Cash Flow and Financing - The company reported positive operating cash flow and free cash flow in Q3, supported by a strong product cycle [4] - On September 17, the company completed a public offering raising USD 1.16 billion, with funds allocated for core technology R&D, new technology platforms, charging infrastructure expansion, and optimizing the balance sheet [4]