建信上海金ETF(518860)近10日净流入超1.7亿元,12月降息预期升温,机构:中长期来看黄金仍具备显著配置价值
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-11-27 02:20

Core Insights - The recent trend shows significant inflows into the Jianxin Shanghai Gold ETF, with a total of 172 million yuan over the past 10 trading days, indicating strong investor interest in gold assets [1] - The Federal Reserve is leaning towards a rate cut in December, which could further support gold prices, as multiple institutions predict an increase in gold prices if a 50 basis point cut is confirmed [1] - The demand for safe-haven assets like gold is expected to persist due to geopolitical tensions, high U.S. debt, and elevated stock valuations, despite potential short-term price adjustments [1] Group 1 - The Jianxin Shanghai Gold ETF (518860) has seen net inflows for 7 out of the last 10 trading days, totaling 172 million yuan [1] - Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller supports a rate cut in December, citing stable inflation and concerns about the labor market [1] - Goldman Sachs predicts that the Fed may initiate a rate cut in December, with further cuts expected in 2025, potentially lowering the benchmark rate to the 3%-3.25% range [1] Group 2 - According to Zhongjin Company, gold prices have been rising since 2022 due to geopolitical factors and increasing U.S. debt, with central bank purchases being a major demand driver [2] - Some central banks are temporarily reducing gold holdings as their gold-to-reserve asset ratio exceeds targets, but overall, there is still potential for increased gold allocation by global central banks [2] - The outlook for 2026 suggests that cyclical demand and structural trends will continue to drive gold and silver prices upward [2]