Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-11-27 02:29Core Viewpoint - The report from CMB International maintains a target price of HKD 62.7 for NIO-SW (09866) in Hong Kong and USD 8 in the US, with a "Buy" rating, citing strong gross margin performance in Q3 2025 and historic high guidance for Q4 [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - NIO's Q3 total revenue reached RMB 21.79 billion, a year-on-year increase of 16.7% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 14.7%, aligning with the upper limit of previous guidance [1] - The gross margin for vehicles improved significantly to 14.7% in Q3, up from 10.3% in Q2, while the overall gross margin rose to 13.9%, marking a three-year high [1] - The company provided guidance for Q4 deliveries of 120,000 to 125,000 units, representing a year-on-year increase of 65% to 72%, with projected revenue between RMB 32.76 billion and RMB 34.04 billion [1] Group 2: Future Outlook - For 2026, the company plans to enter a strong product cycle with the launch of three new large SUVs, aiming to establish a high-end product matrix of five large vehicles [2] - The company targets adjusted profitability and stable vehicle gross margins above 20% for the full year of 2026 [2] - In the overseas market, the company will shift to a "partner" model to reduce capital expenditures and establish a joint venture for chip development to explore new avenues for technology monetization [2]