Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that Google's external sales of approximately 500,000 TPUs could lead to an increase of about $13 billion in Google Cloud revenue by 2027, representing an 11% growth rate, and an increase of approximately $0.37 in earnings per share, equating to a 3% growth rate [1] - If Google Cloud's business growth continues to accelerate and the company's semiconductor market expansion is successful, it will help maintain a high valuation for its stock [1] Group 2 - In terms of industry scale, with Nvidia expected to ship around 8 million GPUs by 2027, Google's external sales of TPUs in the range of 500,000 to 1 million units remains reasonable [3] - There is uncertainty regarding Google's overall strategy for promoting TPU external sales, with investor focus on its business model, pricing strategy, and the types of workloads that TPUs can handle [3] - This year, Google has spent approximately $20 billion on Nvidia for large language model-related computing, while spending on TPUs has been only around $1 billion, indicating a potential adjustment in capital allocation next year, although overall AI chip demand is unlikely to result in a "winner-takes-all" scenario [3]
大摩:谷歌每对外销售约50万颗TPU,将推升2027年谷歌云营收增加约130亿美元,每股盈利增长约3%