黄金早参|美经济活动放缓，降息预期升温，金价震荡攀升

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates that gold prices are rising due to increasing expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, with gold futures reaching a two-week high of $4,200 per ounce [1] - As of the market close, COMEX gold futures increased by 0.45% to $4,196.10 per ounce, while the China Gold ETF (518850) and Gold Stock ETF (159562) experienced slight declines of 0.04% and 0.19% respectively [1] - The Federal Reserve's Beige Book report shows that economic activity has remained stable across most of its 12 districts, although two districts reported slight economic declines and one reported slight growth, indicating a mixed economic outlook [1] Group 2 - The number of initial jobless claims in the U.S. decreased by 6,000 to 216,000, marking the lowest level since mid-April and falling below the expected 225,000 [1] - The preliminary value of September durable goods orders increased by 0.5% month-over-month, a significant slowdown compared to the revised previous value of 3% [1] - Following the release of economic data, market expectations for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut in December rose to 85% [1] Group 3 - Analysts from ANZ Research noted that expectations for rate cuts are rising following dovish comments from policymakers, with Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller suggesting that the labor market is sufficiently weak to warrant another rate cut in December [1] - New York Federal Reserve Bank President John Williams also expressed that there is still room for further rate cuts [1]