12月降息预期升温，黄金继续温和上涨

Group 1 - The market's expectation for a Federal Reserve rate cut in December has increased, supporting a moderate rebound in gold prices [1][3] - Short-term technical indicators suggest a demand for gold rebound, with support at $4100 and resistance at $4150, and a potential upward target of $4200 if the resistance is broken [1] - Gold prices reached a one-week high of $4169 after breaking the $4150 resistance, later peaking at $4173 before retreating to stabilize around $4136 [3] Group 2 - The recent moderate rebound in gold prices is primarily driven by the renewed market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut in December [3] - Earlier, the U.S. government shutdown led to the absence of key economic data, and dovish comments from Federal Reserve officials, including Chairman Powell, created downward pressure on gold prices [3] - Following the release of delayed economic data, the probability of a December rate cut increased from below 40% to over 80%, further supporting gold prices [3]