中国仍使用石油但为何依旧是绿色大国

Core Insights - China is set to increase its oil consumption before 2030 while still being a leader in green energy, highlighting the challenge of balancing energy security, economic growth, and structural emissions reduction [1][2] Group 1: Renewable Energy Development - China has become a global leader in renewable energy, particularly in solar and wind power, with significant investments driving this transition [1] - By October 2025, China's total installed power generation capacity is expected to reach 3.75 billion kilowatts, with solar power capacity at 1.14 billion kilowatts (up 43.8% year-on-year) and wind power capacity at 590 million kilowatts (up 21.4% year-on-year) [1][3] - In the first quarter of 2025, renewable energy generation is projected to account for approximately 35.9% of total power generation, accelerating the process to achieve peak carbon emissions before 2030 [3] Group 2: Fossil Fuel Dependency - Despite rapid growth in renewable energy, China's reliance on fossil fuels remains significant, with coal consumption expected to peak around 2027 and oil consumption projected to peak during the 14th Five-Year Plan (2026-2030) [2] - The transportation sector is expected to reduce its use of refined fuels, leading to a shift of oil derivatives towards the slower-growing petrochemical industry [2] Group 3: Energy System Transformation - China is accelerating the development of a new energy system characterized by integration, storage, large-scale renewable energy bases, and modernized grids to ensure stable replacement of fossil fuels [2] - Investments in energy storage are crucial for reducing renewable energy waste and ensuring stable power system operations [2] - The expansion of smart grid infrastructure and scheduling systems is underway to accommodate a large amount of intermittent energy sources [2] Group 4: Long-term Goals - By 2035, China aims to achieve over six times the total installed capacity of solar and wind power compared to 2020, targeting over 360 million kilowatts, with the potential for early achievement based on current growth rates [3]