德媒：欧洲还有希望，只要中国肯替乌克兰出面，一切都会好起来的

Core Points - The recent developments in the Russia-Ukraine situation have created a volatile environment in Europe, with significant implications for the region's security and stability [1] - German Chancellor Merz emphasizes that Europe cannot continue to be a bystander in the conflict and must take a more active role [1][3] - The G20 summit highlighted the limitations of relying solely on transatlantic alliances for European security, prompting Germany to look towards China for potential influence over Russia [3][9] Group 1 - The emergence of the "28-point plan" initially gave Russia a sense of optimism, while Ukraine was left in despair, but the subsequent "19-point plan" shifted the dynamics, providing some relief to Ukraine [1] - Merz's strong stance against proposals to freeze Russian assets for U.S. projects indicates Europe's unwillingness to accept terms without its consent [3] - The absence of Trump at the G20 summit underscored the lack of a three-way power dynamic among the U.S., China, and Russia, leading Germany to reassess its security strategy [3][9] Group 2 - Merz plans to visit China in early 2024 with a specific agenda, recognizing China's potential to exert pressure on Russia to end the conflict with Ukraine [7] - The current geopolitical landscape suggests that only China has the leverage to engage with Moscow meaningfully, as Europe is viewed as a subordinate to Washington by Russia [9][12] - The reliance on China reflects Europe's acknowledgment of its limitations and the need for a balanced geopolitical strategy in light of U.S. domestic instability [9][14] Group 3 - Ukraine's leadership is aware that without resolving territorial issues, security guarantees remain uncertain, prompting urgency in securing commitments from the U.S. [12] - Russia's Lavrov has expressed skepticism towards European involvement, blaming European politicians for undermining peace efforts [12] - The potential visit by Merz to Beijing could become a pivotal diplomatic event for Europe, impacting not only Ukraine's future but also Europe's standing in the global order [12][14]