我国军事家曾预言：如果特朗普能任2届，美国就会从老大变成老二

Group 1 - The article discusses the ongoing tensions between the US and China, highlighting the perception that the US cannot accept being the second strongest nation globally [1][3] - It reflects on the failure of the trade war initiated by Trump, which did not achieve its intended goals of reversing trade deficits or revitalizing American manufacturing [5][7] - The article notes that the trade war led to significant job losses in the manufacturing sector, with a decline of 42,000 jobs over four months, marking the longest downturn since 2020 [7] Group 2 - The impact of tariffs on American households is emphasized, with studies indicating that Trump's tariffs cost each American family approximately $1,500 annually, escalating to $5,400 over time [7] - The agricultural sector, particularly soybean farmers, faced severe repercussions, with exports to China plummeting from $12.6 billion to just $2.5 billion by mid-2025 [7] - In contrast, China adapted to the tariffs by finding alternative routes for its goods, demonstrating resilience in the face of US trade policies [9] Group 3 - The article highlights China's strategic advantage in rare earth resources, controlling 48.9% of global reserves and monopolizing high-purity separation technology, crucial for US high-tech industries [11] - It discusses China's proactive measures in the semiconductor sector, with significant investments aimed at achieving self-sufficiency, countering US export restrictions [13] - The narrative suggests that the decline of the US economy was a long-term trend exacerbated by Trump's policies, with a growing reliance on financial markets rather than a robust manufacturing base [13] Group 4 - The article concludes that China's rise is a result of sustained effort and development, positioning itself as a key player in global supply chains and industries [13] - It notes a shift in international perception of China, recognizing its contributions to global issues rather than viewing it solely as a military threat [13] - The article argues that the US's attempts to maintain its hegemonic status through sanctions and military alliances are ultimately counterproductive, as domestic issues remain unresolved [13]