Ultima Markets黄金预测：进一步上涨的前景显现

Core Viewpoint - Gold prices have resumed their weekly upward trend, reaching multi-day highs above $4,170 per ounce, supported by expectations of further Federal Reserve policy easing and geopolitical tensions [2][4]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - Despite rising yields and positive economic data, the dollar continues to lose momentum, which supports metal prices [2]. - The market is leaning towards the belief that the Federal Reserve may cut rates again at the meeting on December 10, with a current probability assessment of approximately 76% for a rate cut [4]. - Geopolitical tensions and ongoing discussions about more Fed rate cuts are temporarily maintaining bullish momentum for gold [2][4]. Group 2: Technical Analysis - If buyers continue to dominate, the first resistance level to watch is the November high of $4,245, followed by the significant target of $4,380, the historical high from October 17 [8]. - Conversely, if sellers push back, initial support is expected at the 55-day simple moving average (SMA) around $3,977, with further support at the weekly low of $3,886 and the 50% Fibonacci retracement level at approximately $3,750 [8]. - Current momentum remains bullish, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) approaching 60 and the Average Directional Index (ADX) above 19, indicating a slowly strengthening potential trend [9].